The Bills messy playoff picture, attempted explanation

By: Nick Wojton

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ORCHARD PARK – Just win, baby.

No seriously, please just win out the year, Buffalo Bills.

The Bills, at 8-6 overall, have a realistic look at ending their 17-year playoff drought.

Beyond that… damn is this thing messy.

So here’s some of the basics that *I think* are right.

Seriously, just win.

Many are counting the Bills out of this Sunday’s game against the New England Patriots (11-3). But if Buffalo does win, and win against the Miami Dolphins (6-8) in the final week of the season, Buffalo has a 96 percent chance of making the playoffs, according to the New York Times playoff machine.

OK, now it gets fun.

If the Bills lose to New England and Miami becomes a must-win in the final week and in this fantasy world the Bills are, in fact, 9-7. The three teams in play are the Baltimore Ravens (8-6), Tennessee Titans (8-6), and Los Angeles Chargers (7-7).

The Ravens, who play the Indianapolis Colts (3-11) and Cincinnati Bengals (5-9) at home, would need to lose one of those games or the Titans would need to lose to the Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4) Week 17.

But the Titans, who host the Los Angeles Rams (10-4) next week, also have to beat the Rams. If Tennessee loses to both the Rams and Jags, the Bills again need a loss by the Ravens or a loss by Chargers, who play at the New York Jets (5-9) or at the Dolphins.

For what it’s worth, according to the NYT playoff simulator, the Bills have a 71-percent chance of making the playoffs if the Bills lose to the Patriots and beat the Dolphins.

My head hurts.

Contributors to this article include Locked on Bills radio host Kevin Massare (@KevinMassare) Roc Sport Network’s Ryan Lasal (@RyanLasal_RSN).

Buffalo Bills quarterback Tyrod Taylor -- Nick Wojton photo

Buffalo Bills quarterback Tyrod Taylor — Nick Wojton photo


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